J0_Zehp wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 10:59 am
pow_hnd wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 10:09 am
C.Fuzzy wrote: ↑Mon Nov 28, 2022 10:03 am
IMO Skill is the best way to mitigate risk.
100%
I know the risk of a motorcycle requires me to use a full face helmet.
I absolutely always wear on on my motorcycle.
For my kids, their little brains are still developing and I need that to continue uninterrupted, so for their skill set, they're required to ride with a helmet.
Again, 100% agree with this situation for sure.
Time, place, and situations are unique. There is no 100% standard on who, what, when and where.
Not agree,even with all the skills and knowledge, the definition of a accident is an unforeseen and sudden event that cause damage
I respect everyone's opinion. but here's mine more fleshed out.
I once inquired with an insurance actuary, and they said the risk profile of an injury skiing and snowboarding without a helmet is equal to driving 200 miles in a car. Something most people do without much consideration outside of the cost of gas. Why isn't there greater fear about driving this distance? Well, likely because millions of people do this everyday and are fine. The risk is so small it's perceived to be inconsequential. Even considering that while driving there's always a chance that someone else is going to do something in a way that you can't prevent, and your life is over, immediately.
In these sports, imo there's very little chance that some unforeseen and completely unpreventable thing is going to happen, where the participant just had zero ability to have seen and evaluated the risk, to have done something different. Lets just say very few rogue Moose attacks from the blind side. Never a zero chance, but still smaller than another driver running a red light.
Jests aside, in my mind there are three factors to put together in the total equation (A x B x C = risk):
A. First is the odds that something happens on the ski hill where there's an injury. Again, the risk profile is to say it's equally as dangerous as driving 200 miles. Very small odds. So small that in other similar risk situations it's not even a consideration. (let me clarify and say it's not a consideration to drive 200 miles. Of course the risk profile of driving is dangerous. Most accidents happen within 1 mile of home. This isn't a debate about seatbelts and airbags. Only driving 200 miles as opposed to not driving 200miles)
B. That this is an accident which a helmet would have been a significant preventative prophylactic. Now add in what @pow_hnd is pointing out, which is that the help of a helmet is often overstated. Call this, marketing. Or call it, perhaps a false bias, where benefits are attributed to a helmet's protective measures that, in truth, it didn't really do much to help but since it was being worn were assumed to have provided over and above a worse outcome. So now, mutiply small percentage 1 by small percentage 2 to get a smaller percentage.
C. That this risk (A x B) is unable to be mitigated (something sudden and completely unforeseen as you say) is a factor of skill. For me this is both the biggest and smallest odds risk. When skill is low the risk taken should remain low, and as skill level and risk taken goes up.... but only to a point. Then often, the skill overtakes the risk, even in risky environments. This is, to make an analogy, a divers ability to read the road, the cars around them, see risks ahead, and make appropriate adjustments (like slowing down when the car in front of them slows down). As we become better skilled our risk decreases. Of course the number is non-zero. There is always the chance that the most skilled person was, though reading the situation and having mastery, unable to mitigate the risk. But... Like, is anyone truly worried for Iguchi when he's on the bunny hill without a helmet? And if so, why not? Because skill mitigates risk. Could he though, hit his head and die on the bunny hill? Yes. Always a non-zero chance.
It's just, low skill = a higher chance of injury. Lots of skill = a smaller chance. This is why skill is the biggest variable to account for. Because both A & B are rather tiny probability. However, C could be the biggest OR the smallest. I know people that are just not skilled and lack aptitude for driving...and sports. Those people are generally going to be the ones that make up the statistics. Meanwhile, others are like mountain goats, which can do things that other animals shouldn't try.
TLDR: IMO (Risk A x risk B X risk C) is closer to the true picture of risk, with C (skill level) being the main variable to account for, as the other 2 are small.